GLP-1 Evidence

Not medical advice. A record of published research and our assessments of it. The limits

Semaglutide and Cardiovascular Outcomes in Patients with Type 2 Diabetes

Design
Randomized trial · 3297 participants · Hard outcome
Match to healthy normal-weight adults aged 55–75
Different populationType 2 diabetes with high CV risk.
Could weight loss explain it?
PossiblyNot separated; retinopathy signal may relate to rapid glycaemic improvement.
Study tier
Study tier 2Moderate-sized noninferiority CVOT; superiority was a post hoc interpretation. Important source of the retinopathy safety signal.
Assessment
Version 2 · curated · Sep 13, 2026

Study facts come from the paper. Population match, weight-loss explanation and study tier are our judgments, made against the reference group of healthy normal-weight adults aged 55–75.

In 3,297 people with type 2 diabetes, semaglutide lowered cardiovascular events over two years but increased diabetic retinopathy complications. Context for the retinopathy safety topic; not applicable outside diabetes.

01Findings

What the study reported

Drugs
Semaglutide
Dose
0.5 or 1.0 mg once weekly
Route
subcutaneous
Treatment duration
104 weeks
Comparator
placebo
Primary outcome
CV death, nonfatal MI or nonfatal stroke (noninferiority)
Effect
HR 0.74 (6.6% vs 8.9%); stroke HR 0.61; retinopathy complications HR 1.76
95% confidence interval
0.58 to 0.95
P value
<0.001 noninferiority
Follow-up
104 weeks
Adverse events
Retinopathy complications HR 1.76 (1.11-2.78); GI discontinuations higher.
Limitations
Auto-classified from abstract only; effect estimates, adverse events and limitations not extracted. Requires manual review.

Who was studied

Diabetes status
type 2 diabetes required
Cvd status
83% with established CVD or CKD
Ckd status
chronic kidney disease present in population (see abstract)
Baseline condition
chronic kidney disease
Sample size
3297

Study quality details

Study design
Randomized controlled trial
Sample size
3297
Randomization
yes
Blinding
not stated
Comparator
placebo
Follow up duration
104 weeks
Outcome type
hard
Replication
not assessed (auto)
Consistency with other evidence
not assessed (auto)
Population applicability
INDIRECT
Statistical precision
254 events; noninferiority design
Risk of bias
low; superiority not prespecified
Funding conflicts
yes
Peer review status
yes
02Funding

Funding and conflicts

Funding
Novo Nordisk
Industry funded
Yes
Manufacturer
Novo Nordisk
Sponsor role
Sponsor designed and analysed.
Author conflicts
Authors report Novo Nordisk relationships; sponsor co-authors.
Independent replication
class-level
Notes
Authors declare relationships with the drug's manufacturer: Novo Nordisk

Funding is shown on every study and never used to score it.

04Source

The source, as retrieved

Abstract

[BACKGROUND] Regulatory guidance specifies the need to establish cardiovascular safety of new diabetes therapies in patients with type 2 diabetes in order to rule out excess cardiovascular risk. The cardiovascular effects of semaglutide, a glucagon-like peptide 1 analogue with an extended half-life of approximately 1 week, in type 2 diabetes are unknown. [METHODS] We randomly assigned 3297 patients with type 2 diabetes who were on a standard-care regimen to receive once-weekly semaglutide (0.5 mg or 1.0 mg) or placebo for 104 weeks. The primary composite outcome was the first occurrence of cardiovascular death, nonfatal myocardial infarction, or nonfatal stroke. We hypothesized that semaglutide would be noninferior to placebo for the primary outcome. The noninferiority margin was 1.8 for the upper boundary of the 95% confidence interval of the hazard ratio. [RESULTS] At baseline, 2735 of the patients (83.0%) had established cardiovascular disease, chronic kidney disease, or both. The primary outcome occurred in 108 of 1648 patients (6.6%) in the semaglutide group and in 146 of 1649 patients (8.9%) in the placebo group (hazard ratio, 0.74; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.58 to 0.95; P<0.001 for noninferiority). Nonfatal myocardial infarction occurred in 2.9% of the patients receiving semaglutide and in 3.9% of those receiving placebo (hazard ratio, 0.74; 95% CI, 0.51 to 1.08; P=0.12); nonfatal stroke occurred in 1.6% and 2.7%, respectively (hazard ratio, 0.61; 95% CI, 0.38 to 0.99; P=0.04). Rates of death from cardiovascular causes were similar in the two groups. Rates of new or worsening nephropathy were lower in the semaglutide group, but rates of retinopathy complications (vitreous hemorrhage, blindness, or conditions requiring treatment with an intravitreal agent or photocoagulation) were significantly higher (hazard ratio, 1.76; 95% CI, 1.11 to 2.78; P=0.02). Fewer serious adverse events occurred in the semaglutide group, although more patients discontinued treatment because of adverse events, mainly gastrointestinal. [CONCLUSIONS] In patients with type 2 diabetes who were at high cardiovascular risk, the rate of cardiovascular death, nonfatal myocardial infarction, or nonfatal stroke was significantly lower among patients receiving semaglutide than among those receiving placebo, an outcome that confirmed the noninferiority of semaglutide. (Funded by Novo Nordisk; SUSTAIN-6 ClinicalTrials.gov number, NCT01720446 .).

Where this record came from

SourceRetrievedIdentifier
pubmedSep 13, 202627633186
first ingestion