GLP-1 Evidence

Not medical advice. A record of published research and our assessments of it. The limits

Effects of semaglutide on subclinical cardiovascular health in people with HIV

Design
Randomized trial · 108 participants · Mixed outcome
Match to healthy normal-weight adults aged 55–75
Different populationINDIRECT: all participants had HIV with lipohypertrophy and BMI >25 kg/m2 with increased waist circumference; median age 53 years, below the target range.
Could weight loss explain it?
PossiblyThe parent trial reported improved weight, visceral fat, blood pressure, glucose and lipids with semaglutide; this analysis was only sex-adjusted and did not separate those changes from the ASCVD-risk and hsCRP results. Weight loss is not quantified, so possibly rather than likely.
Study tier
Study tier 3LOW: a prespecified secondary analysis of a small randomized trial with biomarker and modelled-risk outcomes.
Assessment
Version 3 · Two independent AI reviews agreed · Nov 7, 2026

Study facts come from the paper. Population match, weight-loss explanation and study tier are our judgments, made against the reference group of healthy normal-weight adults aged 55–75.

One hundred eight adults with HIV, central fat build-up and a BMI above 25 took part in this secondary analysis of a 32-week placebo-controlled trial. Semaglutide did not change measures of artery stiffness, blood-vessel function or coronary calcium, but it lowered a calculated 10-year heart-disease risk score by 32.6% and the inflammation marker hsCRP by 23.4% compared with placebo. These are markers and risk estimates, not heart attacks or strokes.

01Findings

What the study reported

Drugs
Semaglutide
Comparator
placebo
Treatment duration
32 weeks
Primary outcome
subclinical cardiovascular health: arterial stiffness (PWV), endothelial function (endoPAT) and coronary artery calcium
Effect
No significant effect on PWV, CAC score, reactive hyperemia index, augmentation index or REE; VO2 downward trend (β -43 ml/min; P = 0.087); 10-year ASCVD risk -32.6%; P = 0.026 and hsCRP -23.4%; P = 0.02 vs placebo
95% confidence interval
Not extracted
P value
P = 0.026 (10-year ASCVD risk); P = 0.02 (hsCRP)
Follow-up
32 weeks
Adverse events
not reported in abstract
Limitations
Prespecified secondary analysis of a small, 32-week phase 2b trial in people with HIV and lipohypertrophy; no confidence intervals are reported, and the authors call for longer and larger studies.

Who was studied

Mean age
median 53 years
Sex distribution
60% male
Bmi min
>25 kg/m2
Obesity status
overweight or obesity required (BMI >25 kg/m2 with increased waist circumference/waist-to-hip ratio)
Diabetes status
excluded (without known diabetes)
Cvd status
not reported in abstract
Ckd status
not reported in abstract
Baseline condition
HIV with lipohypertrophy
Sample size
108
Inclusion exclusion
virologically suppressed adults with HIV on stable antiretroviral therapy, no known diabetes, BMI >25 kg/m2 and increased waist circumference/waist-to-hip ratio

Study quality details

Study design
Randomized controlled trial
Sample size
108
Randomization
yes
Blinding
double-blind
Comparator
placebo
Follow up duration
32 weeks
Outcome type
mixed
Replication
not assessed
Consistency with other evidence
not assessed
Population applicability
INDIRECT
Statistical precision
no CI reported; P values only
Risk of bias
not assessed
Peer review status
yes
02Funding

Funding and conflicts

Funding
not reported in abstract
Industry funded
Unclear
Manufacturer
not stated in source
Sponsor role
not reported in abstract
Author conflicts
not reported in abstract
Independent replication
unknown

Funding is shown on every study and never used to score it.

04Source

The source, as retrieved

Abstract

[DESIGN AND OBJECTIVE] Lipohypertrophy, characterized by central adipose tissue accumulation, is common in people with HIV (PWH) and contributes to cardiometabolic risk. In a recent randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled phase 2b trial, semaglutide significantly improved weight, total fat, visceral adiposity, blood pressure, glucose metabolism, and lipids over 32 weeks in PWH with lipohypertrophy. This prespecified secondary analysis evaluated semaglutide's effects on subclinical cardiovascular health. [METHODS] Virologically suppressed adults with HIV without known diabetes, receiving stable antiretroviral therapy, with body mass index >25 kg/m2 and increased waist circumference/waist-to-hip ratio were enrolled. Participants were randomized 1 : 1 to semaglutide or placebo for 32 weeks. Pulse wave velocity (PWV) and endothelial peripheral arterial tonometry (endoPAT) assessed arterial stiffness and endothelial function, and coronary artery calcium (CAC) score assessed calcified coronary atherosclerosis. Indirect calorimetry measured resting energy expenditure (REE) and oxygen consumption (VO2). 10-year atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) risk scores were calculated. Analyses followed intention-to-treat principles using sex-adjusted multiplicative regression. [RESULTS] One hundred eight participants (n = 54 semaglutide) were enrolled (median age 53 years; 60% male; 65% non-White; 35% smokers). Semaglutide had no significant effect on PWV, CAC score, reactive hyperemia index, augmentation index, or REE. VO2 showed a downward trend (β -43 ml/min; P = 0.087). At week 32, significant reductions were observed in 10-year ASCVD risk (-32.6%; P = 0.026) and hsCRP (-23.4%; P = 0.02) in the semaglutide group relative to placebo. [CONCLUSION] Semaglutide did not improve subclinical vascular markers over 32 weeks but significantly improved overall cardiometabolic health and cardiovascular disease risk. Longer and larger studies of GLP-1 RAs are indicated in HIV to further assess their effects on long-term cardiovascular disease outcomes. [TRIAL REGISTRATION] NCT04019197.

Where this record came from

SourceRetrievedIdentifier
pubmedSep 20, 202642752515
first ingestion
pubmedSep 27, 202642752515
duplicate matched on doi
owner-reviewNov 6, 2026
reviewed_by set to Carrie Schluter (2026-11-05) on the owner's own confirmation. The assessment is unchanged and still the auto-classifier's, so its extracted values stay withheld under the 2026-10-18 decision.