GLP-1 Evidence

Not medical advice. A record of published research and our assessments of it. The limits

Risk of neoplasms with semaglutide in patients with type 2 diabetes: a systematic review and meta-analysis of randomized controlled trials

Design
Meta-analysis · 38160 participants · Unknown outcome
Match to healthy normal-weight adults aged 55–75
Different population[Auto] Synthesis of studies conducted predominantly in people with type 2 diabetes.
Could weight loss explain it?
Unknown[Auto] Harm signal; weight-loss mediation not the relevant question, but consider whether harms relate to rapid weight loss or reduced intake.
Study tier
Study tier 2[Auto] Systematic review/meta-analysis of randomized trials (auto-provisional; heterogeneity and included-study quality not assessed).
Assessment
Version 1 · automatic, not yet reviewed by a person · Sep 20, 2026

Study facts come from the paper. Population match, weight-loss explanation and study tier are our judgments, made against the reference group of healthy normal-weight adults aged 55–75.

[Auto, unreviewed; quoted from abstract conclusions] Semaglutide use in patients with T2DM is associated with a modestly increased risk of overall and benign neoplasms, but not malignant neoplasms. These findings highlight the importance of maintaining clinical awareness regarding potential neoplastic risks, and further long-term RCTs are warranted to clarify their clinical significance.

01Findings

What the study reported

Drugs
Semaglutide
Route
oral
Primary outcome
Not extracted
Effect
Not extracted
95% confidence interval
Not extracted
Follow-up
156 weeks
Adverse events
Not extracted
Limitations
Auto-classified from abstract only; effect estimates, adverse events and limitations not extracted. Requires manual review.

Who was studied

Diabetes status
type 2 diabetes present (all or most)
Sample size
38160

Study quality details

Study design
Meta-analysis
Sample size
38160
Randomization
n/a
Blinding
not stated
Comparator
not stated
Follow up duration
156 weeks
Outcome type
unknown
Replication
not assessed (auto)
Consistency with other evidence
not assessed (auto)
Population applicability
INDIRECT
Statistical precision
CI reported: 95% confidence interval (95% CI
Risk of bias
not assessed (auto)
Funding conflicts
unclear
Peer review status
yes
02Funding

Funding and conflicts

Funding
not reported in abstract
Industry funded
Unclear
Manufacturer
None identified
Sponsor role
not reported in abstract
Author conflicts
The author(s) declared that this work was conducted in the absence of any commercial or financial relationships that could be construed as a potential conflict of interest.
Independent replication
unknown

Funding is shown on every study and never used to score it.

04Source

The source, as retrieved

Abstract

[BACKGROUND] Semaglutide is prescribed in conjunction with diet and exercise to improve glycemic control in adults with type 2 diabetes (T2DM). However, its potential impact on tumorigenesis has prompted considerable debate. [METHODS] The meta-analysis was conducted in accordance with PRISMA 2020 guidelines. We searched Web of Science, PubMed, Embase, and ScienceDirect for eligible randomized controlled trials (RCTs). The outcome was the risk of overall, benign and malignant neoplasms. The pooled results were expressed as odds ratio (OR) with 95% confidence interval (95% CI). Influential publication was determined by performing the sensitivity analysis. Publication bias was assessed using the funnel plot, Begg's and Egger's tests. [RESULTS] Nineteen RCTs conducted between 2016 and 2025 were included, enrolling of 38,160 patients with T2DM. The interventions involved subcutaneous semaglutide and oral semaglutide, with treatment durations ranging from 26 to 156 weeks. Fixed-effects meta-analysis revealed that semaglutide use was associated with an increased risk of overall neoplasms (OR = 1.19, 95% CI = 1.07 to 1.32, P = 0.001) and benign neoplasms (OR = 1.28, 95% CI = 1.02 to 1.61, P = 0.032), but showed no significant association with malignant neoplasms (OR = 1.12, 95% CI = 1.00 to 1.26, P = 0.054). No influential publications or significant publication bias were detected. [CONCLUSION] Semaglutide use in patients with T2DM is associated with a modestly increased risk of overall and benign neoplasms, but not malignant neoplasms. These findings highlight the importance of maintaining clinical awareness regarding potential neoplastic risks, and further long-term RCTs are warranted to clarify their clinical significance. [SYSTEMATIC REVIEW REGISTRATION] https://www.crd.york.ac.uk/PROSPERO/view/CRD420261354386, Identifier CRD420261354386.

Where this record came from

SourceRetrievedIdentifier
pubmedSep 20, 202642757217
first ingestion