Sodium-Glucose Cotransporter-2 Inhibitors, Glucagon-Like Peptide-1 Receptor Agonists, and Incident Atrial Fibrillation in Type 2 Diabetes: A Population-Based Target Trial Emulation
- Design
- Retrospective cohort · 216293 participants · Hard outcome
- Match to healthy normal-weight adults aged 55–75
- Different population[Auto] Participants had type 2 diabetes (age/BMI not reported in abstract).
- Could weight loss explain it?
- Possibly[Auto] Participants had obesity and/or type 2 diabetes and the abstract does not separate direct drug effects from weight loss or glycaemic improvement.
- Study tier
- Study tier 3[Auto] Observational design; confounding by indication and healthy-user effects cannot be excluded (auto-provisional).
- Assessment
- Version 1 · automatic, not yet reviewed by a person · Sep 13, 2026
Study facts come from the paper. Population match, weight-loss explanation and study tier are our judgments, made against the reference group of healthy normal-weight adults aged 55–75.
[Auto, unreviewed; quoted from abstract conclusions] Among adults with type 2 diabetes, treatment strategies incorporating SGLT2i were associated with a lower risk of incident AF or atrial flutter than GLP-1RA without SGLT2i. These findings extend the cardiovascular evidence supporting SGLT2i and provide new comparative data regarding early combined use of SGLT2i and GLP-1RA.
01Findings
What the study reported
- Drugs
- Class unspecified
- Primary outcome
- Not extracted
- Effect
- Not extracted
- 95% confidence interval
- Not extracted
- Follow-up
- 5 years
- Adverse events
- Not extracted
- Limitations
- Auto-classified from abstract only; effect estimates, adverse events and limitations not extracted. Requires manual review.
Who was studied
- Diabetes status
- type 2 diabetes present (all or most)
- Sample size
- 216293
Study quality details
- Study design
- Retrospective cohort
- Sample size
- 216293
- Randomization
- no
- Blinding
- not stated
- Comparator
- not stated
- Follow up duration
- 5 years
- Outcome type
- hard
- Replication
- not assessed (auto)
- Consistency with other evidence
- not assessed (auto)
- Population applicability
- INDIRECT
- Statistical precision
- CI reported: 95% CI 0
- Risk of bias
- not assessed (auto)
- Funding conflicts
- unclear
- Peer review status
- yes
02Funding
Funding and conflicts
- Funding
- not reported in abstract
- Industry funded
- Unclear
- Manufacturer
- None identified
- Sponsor role
- not reported in abstract
- Author conflicts
- not available in metadata
- Independent replication
- unknown
Funding is shown on every study and never used to score it.
04Source
The source, as retrieved
Abstract
[AIMS] The comparative association of sodium-glucose cotransporter-2 inhibitors (SGLT2i) and glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists (GLP-1RA) with incident atrial fibrillation (AF) or atrial flutter remains uncertain, particularly with early use of both classes. We compared three initial treatment strategies in adults with type 2 diabetes. [METHODS] We emulated a three-arm target trial using population-based healthcare data from 2015-2025. Participants were assigned to SGLT2i without GLP-1RA, GLP-1RA without SGLT2i, or early combined therapy according to dispensings during a 30-day treatment-assignment period. Follow-up began at the end of this period using a landmark design. Treatment groups were balanced using inverse probability of treatment weighting, and cumulative incidence was estimated using weighted Aalen-Johansen methods accounting for competing mortality. [RESULTS] Among 216,293 participants, 114,572 received SGLT2i without GLP-1RA, 91,524 received GLP-1RA without SGLT2i, and 10,197 received early combined therapy. At 5 years, cumulative AF or atrial flutter incidence was 4.3%, 4.8%, and 4.2% among participants receiving SGLT2i without GLP-1RA, GLP-1RA without SGLT2i, and early combined therapy, respectively. SGLT2i without GLP-1RA was associated with lower risk than GLP-1RA without SGLT2i (RR 0.88, 95% CI 0.83-0.94), while risk was similar between SGLT2i without GLP-1RA and combined therapy (RR 1.00, 95% CI 0.84-1.19). [CONCLUSIONS] Among adults with type 2 diabetes, treatment strategies incorporating SGLT2i were associated with a lower risk of incident AF or atrial flutter than GLP-1RA without SGLT2i. These findings extend the cardiovascular evidence supporting SGLT2i and provide new comparative data regarding early combined use of SGLT2i and GLP-1RA.
Where this record came from
| Source | Retrieved | Identifier |
|---|---|---|
| pubmed | Sep 13, 2026 | 42700963 first ingestion |